New ECU poll shows slim Biden lead in NC; Senate race a toss-up

GREENVILLE, N.C. (WNCT) — A poll conducted Oct. 15-18 by the ECU Center for Survey Research shows a three-point lead (50% to 47%) for Democrat Joe Biden over Republican Donald Trump among likely voters in North Carolina.

However, the poll’s margin of error of 3.4 percentage points essentially makes the presidential race tied.

The U.S. Senate race between Democrat Cal Cunningham and Republican Thom Tillis remains a toss-up with Cunningham holding a 48-47% lead, while Democrat Roy Cooper leads Republican challenger Dan Forest, 53% to 44%.

Dr. Peter Francia, director of the Center for Survey Research, said the poll shows Biden outperforming Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign in the North Carolina suburbs.

“In particular, Biden is winning over suburban women. If Biden can maintain the current level of support that he has in the suburbs, then he has a strong shot at winning North Carolina,” Francia said. “However, Trump’s ‘excitement’ advantage is worth noting. In an extremely competitive election, voter turnout is often the decisive factor.”

Francia said that Trump supporters appear more enthusiastic. Click here for more details about the poll.

“Trump supporters are more excited than Biden supporters. That excitement advantage could well translate into a voter turnout advantage. If so, Republican candidates, from the top to the bottom of the ballot, could win in these hyper-competitive races.”

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